2026 Predictions Scorecard

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Introduction
What I Nearly Got Wrong
What Has Surprised Me, And That I Missed 8 Years Ago
My Color Scheme and Past Analysis

My New Predictions
Quantum Computers
Self Driving Cars
Humanoid Robots
Neural Computation
LLMs

Self Driving Cars
A Brief Recap of what “Self Driving” Cars Means and Meant
My Own Experiences with Waymo in 2025
Self Driving Taxi Services
__Cruise
__Tesla
__Waymo
__Zoox
Electric Cars
Flying Cars

Robotics, AI, and Machine Learning
Capabilities and Competences
World Models
Situatedness vs Embodiment
Dexterous Hands

Human Space Flight
Orbital Crewed Flights
Suborbital Crewed Flights
Boeing’s Starliner
SpaceX Falcon 9
NASA, Artemis, and Returning to the Moon
SpaceX Starship
Blue Origin Gets to Orbit
New Space Stations

Addendum

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